These are truly testing times. Within a very short period India
may have seen it all: from what initially seemed like an
economic boom to the downward spiral of recession, eroding
credit, bankruptcies, failure of corporate governance,
stagnation in industrial growth, ground level inequities and the
dark hand of terrorism.
Against this backdrop and with a view to meet the projected
expenditure for the first 4 months of the next financial year
after which the term of the current government would come to an
end, the Finance Minister of India has today laid before the
Parliament for a vote on account, the interim budget for the
year 2009-10.
Recognizing the impact of the global economic crisis on India,
the Government has relaxed the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget
Management targets set out in the earlier budget. The fiscal
deficit is expected to go up to 6% of the GDP. Notwithstanding
this, the policy behind the interim budget may be easily
inferred from the Finance Minister’s reference to Prof. Amartya
Sen’s suggestion of supplementing ‘growth with equity’ with a
commitment towards ‘down turn with security’ in the light of
recent global socio-economic trends.
The Government has increased the budgetary allocation towards
rural infrastructure. A number of reforms have been suggested on
the social welfare front, which include employment generation
and increased access to education for weaker sections, subsidies
in relation to essential commodities, enhanced disbursement of
low cost credit to labour intensive sectors. An increase in the
allocation for defence has also been proposed.
However, the absence of any significant fiscal sector reforms is
likely to raise several concerns. Admitting that “[i]n the days
of financial stress, tax rates must fall and our ability to pay
taxes must rise”, the Finance Minister highlighted some of the
reforms carried out over the course of the last four years,
which included rationalization of direct and indirect tax rates,
expansion of the tax base, modernization of the tax enforcement
machinery and other administrative reforms. The Finance Minister
also alluded to the economic stimulus package announced in
December 2008 and January 2009 for bringing about certain
reforms in the tax regime. However, being an interim budget, the
Government seems to have abstained from suggesting any changes
in the existing direct and indirect tax framework.
Many industrial players have voiced their expectations on the
ushering in of sector specific tax incentives and other fiscal
reforms through the interim budget. The Government, while noting
that tax rates should fall further, has desisted from bringing
about any such changes, leaving it for the newly elected
government to take such decisions.
One may in fact discern a clear difference in the approach of
the Indian Government to reduce taxes, and that proposed by the
new Obama-led government in the United States which is poised
towards increasing the tax rates. Given that democracies around
the world are now directed by the common object to ensure stable
growth and development, we will have to wait and see how our
policies shall get us there.